The Commission to Study Deficits is Broke
Randall Hoven
June 07, 2010
As reported by The Fiscal Times, President Obama’s commission to study the problem of what to do about the government running short of money is running short of money.
The Commission to Study Deficits is Broke
Randall Hoven
June 07, 2010
As reported by The Fiscal Times, President Obama’s commission to study the problem of what to do about the government running short of money is running short of money.
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged agorism, anarchism, anarcho-capitalism, Austrian Business Cycle Theory, austrian economics, Capitalism, Central Planning, Communism, debt collapse, debt default, dollar, Economic Dictatorship, economy, Fascism, federal reserve, free market, Freedom, gold, hyperinflation, interventionism, liberty, Obama, Socialism, unemployment, voluntaryist
From Bloomberg:
Gold Sales to Europe Jump on Crisis, Perth Mint Says
By Jason Scott
June 4 (Bloomberg) — Gold sales to Europe from the Perth Mint surged in May as the Greek sovereign-debt crisis triggered a flight to haven investments, draining stockpiles at the producer of 6 percent of the world’s bullion.
Buyers from the continent accounted for 69 percent of gold- coin purchases last month compared with 51 percent a year ago, said Ron Currie, sales and marketing director. Individual German investors also bought silver, seeking to protect their wealth with “poor man’s gold,” Currie said from Western Australia.
Greece’s fiscal crisis roiled financial markets worldwide, driving the euro lower. Gold reached a record in May as sovereign-debt risks escalated. The mint is working at full capacity with 20 percent more staff than a year ago, Currie said.
“As soon as it was announced the European Commission was bailing out Greece, the German population decided they’d better hedge their euros by buying precious metals,” Currie said in an interview yesterday. “We had stock before this blip in the market, then it all went.”
Spot gold traded at $1,205.94 an ounce at 9:54 a.m. in Singapore today compared with last month’s record of $1,249.40 and $1,096.95 at the end of last year. The precious metal has gained for nine straight years. Silver, which peaked this year at $19.8275 an ounce on May 13, traded today at $17.9425.
‘Safety of Gold’
“Anyone throughout Europe who understands how the euro is being debased is seeking the safety of gold,” said James Turk, founder of GoldMoney.com, an online gold-buying and storage service that has passed $1 billion of customer assets. The metal may advance further next week, a Bloomberg survey showed.
European leaders have proposed an almost $1 trillion loan package to contain the region’s fiscal crisis, including funds from the International Monetary Fund. The euro has declined against all 16 major counterparts in the past three months, dropping the most against the dollar, with a 12 percent fall.
“The gold market in Europe, and particularly in Germany, has just taken off,” Currie said from the 111-year-old mint, which was founded on the back of a gold rush in the state that accounts for 62 percent of the nation’s mineral production.
“People in Germany are buying silver, which leads me to believe it’s the moms and pops stocking up on ‘poor man’s gold’,” said Currie. “They could be storing it in their homes or burying it in their gardens.”
The mint, controlled by the Western Australian government, has 300 staff and doubled capacity in the past 18 months, Currie said, declining to give a total output figure for coins and bars, or the value of the bullion stored on behalf of buyers. Investors can opt to buy and store gold at the mint, or buy coins to hold themselves.
‘Greeks Changed Everything’
“We came off the highs of the global crisis, we were rolling along at a steady pace for a while and the Greeks changed everything,” said Currie. Standard & Poor’s cut Greece’s rating to junk status on April 27.
The rush for bullion in May at the Perth Mint was matched overseas. The U.S. Mint sold 190,000 ounces of American Eagle gold coins last month, the most since December. Rand Refinery Ltd., the world’s largest gold-smelting facility, has raised weekly production of Krugerrand coins to a 25-year high, Treasurer Debra Thomson said yesterday.
CME Group Inc., the world’s largest futures market, said gold-futures trading rose to a record in May. Gold trading on the Comex unit was 4.82 million contracts, exceeding the 4.57 million record set in January, the Chicago-based CME said June 2.
‘Financial Crisis’
“Sales have come off the highs of the global financial crisis, but they haven’t fallen anywhere near to where they were before the crisis,” Currie said. In the 12 months to June 30, sales of the mint’s 1-ounce Kangaroo and other gold coins may fall by about 16 percent to about 350,000 ounces from the year before, Currie said. Silver will match that drop even as sales of that metal spiked in the past two months, he said.
“It’s a volatile market and you can’t pick what’s going to happen from day to day,” Currie said. “The Indian market isn’t what it was, jewelry sales are down, but the ETFS are up and the overall gold price is still high. Our assumption is that volatility will continue.”
Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest exchange- traded fund backed by bullion, rose to 1,289.84 tons yesterday. India’s gold imports may reach a 12-month low of 15 tons to 17 tons in May as rising prices slowed imports, the Business Standard reported yesterday, citing Suresh Hundia, president of the Bombay Bullion Association.
Western Australia produces 6 percent of the world’s gold, valued at A$5 billion in the year to June 30, 2009, according to state government figures. The mint processes all the gold mined in Australia as well as imports of scrap from overseas, Currie said.
–With assistance from Claudia Carpenter in London. Editors: Jake Lloyd-Smith, Richard Dobson
To contact the reporter on this story: Jason Scott in Perth at jscott14@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: James Poole at jpoole4@bloomberg.net
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged agorism, anarchism, anarcho-capitalism, Austrian Business Cycle Theory, austrian economics, Capitalism, Central Planning, Communism, debt collapse, debt default, dollar, Economic Dictatorship, economy, federal reserve, free market, Freedom, gold, hyperinflation, incentives, inflation, interventionism, liberty, Lysander Spooner, Obama, Socialism, voluntaryist, Weimar Republic
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged agorism, anarchism, anarcho-capitalism, Austrian Business Cycle Theory, austrian economics, Capitalism, Central Planning, Communism, debt collapse, debt default, dollar, Economic Dictatorship, economy, Fascism, federal reserve, free market, Freedom, gold, hyperinflation, incentives, inflation, interventionism, liberty, Lysander Spooner, Obama, Socialism, voluntaryist
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged agorism, anarchism, anarcho-capitalism, Austrian Business Cycle Theory, austrian economics, Capitalism, Central Planning, Communism, Crony Capitalism, debt collapse, debt default, dollar, Economic Dictatorship, economy, Fascism, federal reserve, free market, Freedom, gold, health care, housing crash, hyperinflation, incentives, inflation, interventionism, liberty, Obama, Socialism, unemployment, voluntaryist, Weimar Republic
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged agorism, anarchism, Austrian Business Cycle Theory, austrian economics, Central Planning, debt collapse, debt default, dollar, Economic Dictatorship, economy, federal reserve, free market, Freedom, hyperinflation, inflation, interventionism, Obama, unemployment, Weimar Republic
From: The Times
Greeks queue to buy gold sovereigns for financial security in turbulent times
* John Carr
* May 25, 2010 11:02AM
For weeks buyers have been queuing patiently in the central bank’s main downtown Athens office, prepared to shell out nearly €273 ($409) per piece, up from €243 at the start of May and €180 last July.
Persistent worries that Greece could default at least partly on its debts are emptying the Bank of Greece’s vaults of at least 700 gold coins a day, giving a whole new meaning to the term sovereign debt.
“The public’s renewed interest in sovereigns as an asset started with the collapse of Lehman Brothers,” the daily Kathimerini newspaper wrote.
Central bank officials estimate that while Greek demand for the distinctive bullion has been rising by 10 per cent a year since 2008, its price has been soaring by more than 50 per cent.
Greeks’ uncertainty about their future has manifested itself more dramatically in a series of strikes and riots.
The markets have been jittery, too, something unlikely to have been eased by remarks last night by Olivier Blanchard, chief economist of the International Monetary Fund, who said: “The markets are wondering if Greece will be able to repay its debt or not.
“Given the behaviour of Greek governments in the past, their uncertainties are understandable.”
Sovereigns remained legal tender amid an unstable drachma until 1965, when the Greek government placed restrictions on their trading.
Many hoarders cashed in their stocks, although street vendors near the Athens Stock Exchange continued to do a brisk trade in the coins.
The growing run on the bullion sovereign has spawned a thriving black market: in addition to about 50,000 sold legally by the Bank of Greece in the first four months of this year, officials estimate that at least 100,000 have changed hands on the black market at prices of up to €300.
Trading offers have invaded the Greek blogosphere, where buyers are sometimes confused at the variety of sovereigns on offer.
Some expect the head of George V, standard on most of the 1930s coins flown into wartime Greece. Others want Elizabeth II, whose likeness is on a batch of several million pounds’ worth of sovereigns that Greece bought in the 1970s.
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged agorism, anarchism, anarcho-capitalism, Austrian Business Cycle Theory, austrian economics, Capitalism, Central Planning, Communism, Corporatism, debt collapse, debt default, dollar, Economic Dictatorship, economy, Fascism, federal reserve, free market, Freedom, gold, hyperinflation, incentives, inflation, interventionism, liberty, Socialism, unemployment, unions, voluntaryist, Weimar Republic
Speculators Grab Gold Faster Than Mines Can Produce It
By Nicholas Larkin, Claudia Carpenter and Millie Munshi – May 24, 2010
Speculators are buying gold faster than the world’s biggest producers can mine it as analysts forecast a 27 percent rally that may extend the longest run of annual gains since at least 1920.
Exchange-traded products backed by bullion added 41.7 metric tons in the week to May 14, the most in 14 months, data from UBS AG show. China, Australia and the 15 other largest mining nations averaged weekly output of 41.6 tons last year, researcher GFMS Ltd. estimates. Even though prices have fallen 5.1 percent to $1,185.30 from a record $1,249.40 an ounce May 14, the median in a Bloomberg survey of 23 traders, analysts and investors shows it will reach $1,500 by the end of the year.
Buying accelerated as the MSCI World Index of 23 developed nations’ stocks tumbled as much as 16 percent since mid-April and the euro weakened to a four-year low against the dollar. Holders of ETPs, including George Soros and John Paulson, accumulated a record 1,938 tons by May 21, eclipsing all but four of the biggest central-bank holdings.
“You could see gold go up another $1,000,” said Evan Smith, who helps manage $2 billion at U.S. Global Investors Inc. in San Antonio and in 2006 correctly predicted that gold would reach $700 within two years. “All of the turmoil and problems we’ve seen in Europe is just another reminder that there’s a lot of value in gold as a safe haven.”
The risk to gold bulls lies in economic growth, which should buoy the prospects of metals linked to industrial demand, such as copper and silver. The world economy will expand 4.2 percent this year, the International Monetary Fund said April 21, raising its January projection from 3.9 percent.
Industrial Metals
Astor Asset Management LLC, with $520 million under management, held as much as 10 percent of its assets in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest ETP backed by bullion, according to Bryan Novak, managing director of the Chicago-based company. The firm sold the stake in the first quarter.
China, the biggest consumer of industrial metals, will expand 10.1 percent this year, more than three times the pace of the U.S.’s anticipated 3.2 percent gain, according to as many as 77 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.
“The feeling now is as we move into the expansion phase of economic growth, we want to be diversified in economically sensitive metals,” Novak said. “We’re not negative on the economy now.”
‘Afraid of Debasement’
While gold is favored by investors when the dollar weakens and inflation gains, the metal can also advance at other times. Gold rose 5.8 percent in 2008 as U.S. consumer prices gained 0.1 percent. The metal added 18 percent in 2005 when the U.S. Dollar Index, a measure against six counterparts, advanced 13 percent. Gold rose 8 percent this year as the U.S. Dollar Index jumped 11 percent. U.S. consumer prices dropped in April.
“People are afraid of the debasement of all the currencies,” said Peter Schiff, president and chief global strategist for Darien, Connecticut-based Euro Pacific Capital, whose clients have more than $2 billion in assets. “What’s surprising is that gold is still as low as it is,” he said, predicting $5,000 to $10,000 an ounce in the next five to 10 years.
Since the last week of April, ETPs have been adding bullion at a pace not seen since the first quarter of 2009, in the wake of the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. Buying rose as European policymakers agreed on an almost $1 trillion emergency loan package to prevent sovereign defaults.
Half the Peak
Assets in gold-backed products increased 18.3 tons last week, according to UBS data. The bank revised its estimate for the previous week’s holdings.
Gold is still at half the peak set in 1980, after adjusting for inflation. Then, prices rose to $850, equal to $2,266 today, according to a calculator on the website of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
Supply from mines, which peaked in 2001, fell in five of the last eight years, data from London-based GFMS show. Companies are digging deeper to extract dwindling reserves, with mines in South Africa extending as far as 2.35 miles (3.8 kilometers) down.
Investment, including bars and coins, almost doubled to 1,901 tons last year, exceeding jewelry demand for the first time in three decades, according to GFMS. Jewelry will jump 19 percent to 2,100 tons this year and industrial use 8 percent to 398 tons, Sydney-based Macquarie Group Ltd. says.
Central Banks
Muenze Oesterreich AG, the Vienna-based mint that makes the Philharmonic, the best-selling gold coin in Europe and Japan, on May 12 said it had sold 243,500 ounces since April 26, more than the 205,300 ounces sold in the entire first quarter.
Central banks and governments are also buying gold, adding 425.4 tons last year, for a combined 30,116.9 tons, the most since 1964 and the first expansion since 1988, data from the World Gold Council show. Official reserves of central banks and governments may expand by another 192 to 289 tons this year, according to CPM Group, a research and asset-management company in New York.
The net-long position in Comex futures, or bets on higher prices, is within 13 percent of the record reached in November, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show. The most widely held option gives owners the right to buy gold at $1,500 an ounce by December, data from the bourse in New York show.
Economists’ outlook may be too rosy, said Michael Pento, chief economist at Delta Global Advisors in Holmdel, New Jersey, who correctly predicted the 2008 commodity collapse. Some investors judge that a debt crisis in Greece may spread elsewhere in the euro zone, including Spain and Portugal.
Billionaire Managers
“The second half of this year will likely show very anemic growth on a global basis,” he said. “The crisis in Greece is going to spread to Spain and it’s going to be very difficult to deal with. They are bailing out debt with more debt and it isn’t sustainable. It’s a wonderful scenario for gold.”
Billionaire John Paulson’s New York-based Paulson & Co. hedge fund is the SPDR gold trust’s biggest investor, with 31.5 million shares, or about 96 tons, a May 17 regulatory filing showed. Kyle Bass, the head of Dallas-based Hayman Advisors LP who made $500 million in 2007 on the U.S. subprime collapse, bought gold this month, according to a letter to clients.
Buying at the start of a bubble is “rational,” Soros said in January. His New York-based Soros Fund Management LLC was the sixth-biggest investor in the SPDR fund in the first quarter, a May 17 filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission shows. He trimmed his holding by 9.6 percent from the previous quarter.
“People still want a store of wealth,” said Andrew Karsh, co-manager of funds for the Credit Suisse Total Commodity Return Strategy team. “A lot of the fundamentals are still in place.”
To contact the reporters on this story: Nicholas Larkin in London at nlarkin1@bloomberg.net; Claudia Carpenter in London at ccarpenter2@bloomberg.net; Millie Munshi in New York at mmunshi@bloomberg.net.
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged agorism, anarchism, anarcho-capitalism, Austrian Business Cycle Theory, austrian economics, Capitalism, Central Planning, Communism, debt collapse, debt default, dollar, Economic Dictatorship, economy, Fascism, federal reserve, free market, Freedom, gold, hyperinflation, inflation, interventionism, liberty, Lysander Spooner, Obama, Socialism, voluntaryist, Weimar Republic

The Daily Bell is pleased to present an exclusive interview with Hugo Salinas-Price (left).
Introduction: Hugo Salinas Price, 75, is a successful, retired businessman who lives in Mexico. He has been a follower of the Austrian School of Economics since his youth. He has written three books in Spanish on how and why silver should be instituted as money in Mexico, in parallel with paper money, and numerous related articles in English and Spanish, posted at his website. His organization, the Mexican Civic Association Pro Silver, is actively lobbying the Mexican Congress to approve legislation, which will institute the pure silver “Libertad” ounce as money.
Daily Bell: What is your campaign in Mexico for sound financial policy?
Hugo Salinas-Price: I actually avoid discussing “sound financial policy” because one can argue about that till the cows come home. During the last fifteen years I have devoted my efforts to one single aim, and that is to achieve the monetization of a silver ounce coin currently minted by our Central Bank. This coin has no engraved monetary value and is called the “Libertad” coin; it can very easily be turned into a monetary coin, that is to say, a coin with a monetary value. As such, anyone owning such a coin could, if he or she wished, be able to pay any bill or debt denominated in Mexican pesos.
The monetary value of this coin would be slightly higher than its bullion value; the monetary value would not fluctuate according to the price of the silver ounce, but its monetary value would be raised if the bullion price of silver rose and closed in on the monetary value. The Central Bank would give the coin its monetary value, according to a formula in the proposed legislation.
If the price of silver fell to $1 dollars an ounce, the monetary value of the coin would remain where it was last pegged. (But it would still be better money than any paper or digital money in the world!)
On the other hand, if silver should go to $50 dollars an ounce, this coin would remain in circulation, useable as money, because then its monetary value would be about $57 dollars, and stay there until a further rise in the value of bullion silver.
The monetized silver ounce would be an excellent refuge for savings and would attract them irresistibly. You don’t need a bank account, you don’t even have to know how to sign your name, to invest your savings in this simple and inflation-proof way.
This coin would be better money than the US dollar and I expect many Americans would be wanting to own these “Libertad” ounces once monetization is realized.
Daily Bell: Has Mexico always suffered from an unsound economy? Does Mexico now have a stable political structure?
Hugo Salinas-Price: The first question is like asking me “When did you stop beating your wife?”
Seriously, I think the Mexican economy is sounder than the US economy – which isn’t saying too much. The Mexican economy is much less complex than the American economy. Think of the Mexican economy as a low, wide pyramid or mound. The American economy is by comparison a skyscraper. Personally, I don’t like to occupy hotel rooms above the 12th story, thinking of the possibility of a fire. Think also of all the things that can go wrong for a skyscraper: a power outage, and you and your family are on the 30th floor. No elevators, no water, no refrigerator…you get the idea. The American economy is vulnerable in ways that the Mexican economy is not.
Mexicans have mostly fully-paid housing – the house may be very modest, such that most Americans would not care to live that way, but – it is paid for! Mortgages are not widespread; during recent years there was an increasing use of mortgages but on the whole, the Mexican population lives in housing that is paid for.
Mexican indebtedness is not as great as in the US; because until recently, 70% of the population did not have bank accounts – which given the behavior of banks in general, is a very good thing.
Mexicans, unlike Americans, are used to bearing with hard times. They can “cope” with situations which would drive an American to despair. We do not have a government that prints the World’s money, so we haven’t been as coddled by all levels of government, as the American people.
About political stability: I don’t think American political stability is stronger than ours. We don’t have Tea Parties and we don’t think about taking up guns and holing up in our houses. Matter of fact, I think I see a Revolution brewing right in the old U.S. of A. But of course, we can always be the object of “Regime Change” by the Powers That Be in Washington, D.C. It’s happened before, though most Mexicans are not aware of the fact that our Glorious Revolution of 1910, was a “Regime Change” Operation, carried out covertly by the U.S., because Mexico was getting too prosperous and inviting European Capital into the country, in preference to American Capital. So, it can happen again – any excuse will do. How about: “The Drug War in Mexico threatens American security”? That ought to do the trick.
Daily Bell: Give us some background on yourself. Where did you grow up? Where did you go to school and how did you get interested in business?
Hugo Salinas-Price: I grew up in Mexico City, the eldest of six kids. My father was a Mexican from Monterrey, Mexico. My mother was an American from Bryn Athyn, PA. Our family all spoke both English and Spanish from childhood. We still slip from one language to another when we talk. Most of my friends as a boy were sons of Americans living in Mexico. I went to High School in my mother’s home town, which is a religious community, and enjoyed it greatly. I tried three different Universities looking for a career, and dropped out of all three. I was particularly unhappy at the famous Wharton School of Business and Finance, at the U. of Pa.
After three strikes I was out and decided, at the ripe old age of 20, that I better get to work and stop wasting money. So, I got a job from my father. Two years earlier, he had set up a small company manufacturing radios and I got the job of manager. So I started at the top and did what I could to stay there! Well, fortunately we had a bright man as engineer, he was a Mexican who had been interested in electronics since he was boy. One day, this man asked me “Mr. Salinas (no employee of mine has ever called me by my first name) why don’t we manufacture TV sets?” I said, “Are you out of your mind? That’s a terribly complicated technology, we can hardly make good radios…” But he insisted, “No, we can do it; it’s not such a big problem.” So I said, “Well, build a sample; if you can build a TV set, I’ll give you a new car…”
So we got into TV business, and that saved that tiny company. If we had not done that, in not more than two years we would have gone broke. I didn’t realize this until many years later. In 1954 I married; my wife and I fell in love at first sight, she was 15 and I was 18. The very best decision I ever made in my life!
Elektra couldn’t sell our sets by selling to retailers – there were a dozen manufacturers offering retailers their goods, with well-known brands; our brand was unknown. So, we went to direct sales.
Once we were in direct sales, we added other household goods to the stuff our salesmen could offer the public. Our salesmen were heroic, they knocked on doors from morning till night, and got us our orders.
In 1959, I began to set up our stores, where salesmen could take their customers to view the merchandise. So that’s how we got into retailing. We sold on terms – credit up to 24 months. How to sell on credit – and collect! – was something learned from my father, who learned it from his father. That’s what we are still doing today, with about 1,000 stores.
Daily Bell: How big did Elektra get – and was it your biggest achievement in business?
Hugo Salinas-Price: Elektra has gotten rather large – stores in Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Salvador, Panama, Peru, Brazil and Argentina. (Argentina is the pits, let me tell you.) Elektra owns a bank, which has a very large deposit base among the same people who are its customers. Very solid bank, I am pleased to say. Our Systems department is vast – one of the largest in Latin America. I started up our Systems in 1968, on a ten-year plan to get the company wholly computerized. This finally happened in 1983. We are totally up-to-date in this technology.
Well, my biggest achievement in business happened in 1987, when I was 55. I didn’t know it was that, at the time. What happened was that – I got myself out of the way. Elektra had 59 stores, no debt, was running just fine; my eldest son, who was 32, had been working at Elektra for the past seven years, and he knew everything there was to know about it and was much more active and energetic than I; so one fine day, I just up and resigned, to everyone’s great surprise. Cancelled all Powers of Attorney, Bank signatures, the works. Son Richard took over that day and – that was the best business decision I ever made!
Daily Bell: Is it easy to build a business in Mexico? Why did you decide to retire from it?
Hugo Salinas-Price: Maybe it’s hard, maybe it’s easy. For those who have the knack, it may be easy. I don’t have that knack. Let me tell you I see a family that sells tasty food out of a pick-up truck at around 11 a.m. weekdays; they set up business outside of the building where I have my office. That family pays zero taxes and is raking in money every day, customers galore. A lot of Mexico lives this way, under the taxman’s radar, Praise God!
Now why did I decide to retire? I am not really a businessman. I got a job and worked at it “in my fashion” – never got a degree. I enjoyed my work very much, designing radios and TV sets and “Combos”, and opening stores. Actually I am more of a thinker than a man of business. I have very few friends. Don’t play golf. I have a large library, I like to collect books. I saw that Richard had much more push than I did, that he knew exactly what was going on in the business and more enthusiasm than I about running the business. So, I just handed over the reins. I have never missed not being No. 1. And I never will. It appears that very, very few men are willing to give up being No. 1.
Daily Bell: Does Mexico have a large middle class? If not, why not?
Hugo Salinas-Price: No, I guess I would have to say we do not have a large middle class. I am worried that our middle class may begin to contract in numbers, given the world situation of excessive debt everywhere.
Why is our middle class in danger of contracting? First of all, I have to express my opinion that the US middle class that prospered so much after WW II was to a large extent based on an expansion of credit which took place in the US after WW II and up to 2007. So, as that expansion appears to be over, you may see an unpleasant phenomenon take place – people who thought they were in the middle class, reduced to poverty. Present US policies are headed toward that outcome.
The problem for Mexico has been that, as in all countries everywhere, its governments have attempted to stay in power by spending money they don’t have in order to get the votes. So this spending hits the value of our money and cancels the savings of those who would make up the middle class. This policy hits us harder than Americans, because our money is not welcome outside of our borders, unlike Americans whose Fed can print up money and allow Americans to export it to buy a lot of nice things all over the world.
Daily Bell: Is Mexico a bifurcated state between upper class and the poor? [If so] why is it?
Hugo Salinas-Price: I think that a “bifurcation” – in other words, a division into two – is one of the objectives of Communist agitation: to promote “class consciousness” through envy, mainly. This way of advancing in politics has been going on for centuries. Julius Caesar used it and it worked for him – and he was no Communist.
I can truly say that I do not feel we are in a “bifurcated state” – to promote this feeling is the policy of Chavez in Venezuela, as it has been the policy of Castro in Cuba. My opinion is that there are always and everywhere, rich and poor, but this only becomes a problem when a politician or a political party wants to create the problem for their own advancement. Perhaps we shall face that problem further on – as you well may, yourselves.
Daily Bell: How bad is the drug war in Mexico? Do you think drugs should be made legal?
Hugo Salinas-Price: The drug war is mainly between those who are in the drug dealing business and are fighting over territory. But this war also breeds criminals who take up other ways of getting money, by assaulting peaceable citizens. A US President once told a Mexican President: “Mexico is the spring-board for drugs into the US.” To which our President at once replied: “If we are the spring-board, you are the swimming pool.”
Legalization of drugs would greatly diminish the problem of outlaw drug lords in Mexico – but I mean, legalization in the US. We have a drug war, because drugs are illegal in the US and thus fetch a very high price. Legalize the business in the US and the price of drugs will come down to the price of corn. Mexicans will go back to raising vegetables. Remember, it was Prohibition that made Al Capone rich.
Daily Bell: Is the drug war Mexico’s fault, America’s fault or both? Is Mexico a failed state?
Hugo Salinas-Price: We had marihuana in Mexico when I was a boy. Only a few people indulged in it. Nobody cared if they did. Cocaine was in use in the US in the 30′s – Cole Porter wrote it into one of his songs: “I Get a Kick Out of You”.
Personally, I blame the artificiality of life in our times – caused by funny money, which distorts all aspects of human life – for the hunger that people feel for drugs, to forget their insecurity.
Mexico a failed state? Not yet, by any means! The US may be a failed state long before Mexico falls into such a condition. If we can monetize a silver coin – and believe me, it is quite possible we shall be able to do this – can a State which has silver money be called a “failed State”? Note well: our politicians are far, far less corrupt than yours! Ron Paul, a noble exception among US politicians.
Daily Bell: Would a more stable currency help Mexico?
Hugo Salinas-Price: Undoubtedly. But all currencies in the world are essentially unstable since they are all fiat currencies. There can be true stability only under a gold standard.
Daily Bell: What is your plan for the silver Mexican dollar? What is it called?
Hugo Salinas-Price: My plan is to have the Mexican silver ounce monetized, i.e., turned into ready money. It is called the “Libertad”. This coin would come into circulation in parallel with paper and digital bank money.
People would then have the option of obtaining this coin for their savings – on which no interest would be paid; unlike deposits in banks on which the banks pay interest, people would save these coins even though they pay no interest. This is as it should be: there is no reason for people to expect interest on their savings, if what they are saving is worth saving.
Policy all over the world today, is to promote consumption. This is total nonsense! Savings must come before, long before consuming.
Families who have savings are happy, satisfied people. They are secure in the knowledge that they have solid savings for emergencies and for their retirement. This makes for a happy nation. And that should be the object of politics.
Daily Bell: Will your plan come to fruition in the near future? Does it have much support?
Hugo Salinas-Price: I think there is a good chance it will come to fruition in the near future. We were almost there, late last year. The terrible condition of the world, in monetary terms, is a plus for the silver coin. I have a book out just recently, where I mention all the warnings I made before the present chaos, announcing the coming disaster. The Mexican Congress made a poll of public opinion, last year, and found that 81% of the people want silver money.
We have wide support in the Congress, both Houses. Just yesterday I had a very heartening meeting with one of the leaders, he is all for the measure. He is President of the Mexican College of Economists and influential. I have met with energetic women in the Congress who are all for silver. (Silver is a tradition in Mexico, not yet forgotten.) Yes, there is lots of support. The main opponents are those arrogant individuals who have Post Graduate degrees in Universities such as Stanford, Princeton, Yale, Harvard, etc. who think that what they learned in the US is Gospel Truth. Their minds are closed. Not so the majority of our Congressmen and women, who still enjoy common sense.
Daily Bell: Why did you decide to devote your life to this cause?
Hugo Salinas-Price: When I was a boy, I had an excellent man as teacher. He was an Englishman born in the Victorian era. He made us memorize poetry every week. Do you remember this:
“Tell me not in mournful numbers
Life is but an empty dream.
For the soul is dead that slumbers
And things are not what they seem.
“Life is real, life is earnest
And the grave is not its goal.
Dust thou art, to dust returnest
Was not spoken of the Soul” …
“Let us then be up and doing,
With a heart for any Fate.
Still achieving, still pursuing,
Learn to labor and to wait.”
Daily Bell: A Psalm of Life by the great poet Henry Wadsworth Longfellow. You are obviously a literary person, as your many articles illustrate. Are you a critic of Mexico as it is?
Hugo Salinas-Price: No, I don’t think I am a critic of Mexico as it is. Why write about our defects when we are all conscious of them? What I attempt to do is to inspire our people to rise to what they can and should do, and specifically, to inspire them to the greatest possible thing they can do: monetize a silver coin.
Daily Bell: What does Mexico have to do to become a successful state in your opinion? Is America the problem?
Hugo Salinas-Price: I wouldn’t say that Mexico is an “Unsuccessful State” at all. It has problems which are common to the whole world and which mainly arise from the world’s having abandoned real money by stages, beginning in 1909, or 1873 if you want to go back that far, when the US government decreed that the Treasury would no longer continue to accept all the silver offered to it and return it minted into dollars.
I must admit that the US has forfeited its leadership in the world, over which it had such mighty power after WW II, by unwise behavior in the sphere of banking and money. You have an oligarchy in power, actually running the US Government behind the scenes, and they want to retain their power at all costs, even sacrificing the American People to their ends. Together with their brothers in the UK, they are the prime obstacle to a reform and renewal of Finance and Money, to put the world on a path to sustainable prosperity. I believe they have put a rope around their own necks due to their obstination and avarice. The rope is closing in on them – note the rising gold price.
A strong state is a generous state. As the US has become weaker and troubled, it has become easier for people to take out their frustrations on minorities. Thus the illegal immigrants are in for it. The politicians approve of this – it distracts people from thinking about the true causes of their troubles. Not that I blame Arizona for the legislation it is putting into place regarding illegal immigrants. This measure has provoked wrath in Mexico, but the fact is, Arizona is clearly within its rights.
Daily Bell: Is America becoming a failed state?
Hugo Salinas-Price: I don’t think so, not yet. But popular discontent may cause a lot of grief in the US. Americans are not used to hardship.
Daily Bell: Are you an Austrian free-market economist?
Hugo Salinas-Price: I am an economist without a degree. If I had a degree in economics, I would probably not be an economist. Yes, I consider myself an Austrian economist – but a Neo-Austrian economist. You see, Professor Antal E. Fekete of Budapest, has improved some points of the Austrian theory as left to us by the eminent Ludwig von Mises and Murray Rothbard. He is the founder of a Neo-Austrian School of Economics. Those who have accorded Mises and Rothbard iconic status, don’t think there can be any improvement upon their theories. I disagree and I think that Mises, a fine gentleman of my acquaintance when I was young, was great enough to accept well-founded observations which improved upon his basic ideas, without discrediting their underlying value.
Daily Bell: Are free-market economics having an impact in Mexico?
Hugo Salinas-Price: Yes, but the impact has not been favorable. Because “free market economics” was thought up when gold was the only money that existed. Economists of that time could not imagine a world without true money such as we have today!
It turned out that a free-market without the gold standard caused the de-industrialization of the US, Britain and Europe – and Mexico, too.
Deindustrialization causes unemployment, of course. Since the deindustrialization occurred while we were trying out “free market economics”, the deindustrialization has been blamed on “Free Market Economics”, when the real cause was going off the Gold Standard. Very, very few anywhere, see the relationship. I have written briefly about this, in my article, “Gold the Protector and Creator of Jobs.”
You see, if we had the gold standard, Americans and Mexicans could simply not buy from countries that did not buy from the US and Mexico in return; that being the case, if the gold standard were reinstated jobs would sprout like mushrooms in a matter of months. Protectionism is only a Band-Aid.
Daily Bell: Where does Mexico go from here?
Hugo Salinas-Price: There is going to be terrible turmoil in the world. No one can know what is in store.
Daily Bell: Where do you go from here?
Hugo Salinas-Price: This is my last decade! From here, the grave.
Daily Bell: Are you optimistic about Mexico’s economy?
Hugo Salinas-Price: Not too optimistic – unless we monetize the silver coin. I think it will be a seed from which a multitude of good things will grow, beginning with an awakening of a spirit of confidence and pride in our country.
Daily Bell: Are you optimistic about the West’s economy?
Hugo Salinas-Price: Without the gold standard, we are at a dead end. A very dangerous place to be.
Daily Bell: Is America headed for a depression or hyperinflation? How about the EU?
Hugo Salinas-Price: I think the US is already in a Depression, but the Media are keeping the news from the people. If Bernanke’s creation of massive amounts of money ever gains traction by the money filtering down to the people, then inflation will take hold, and Bernanke will not be able to stop it, try as he may. The genie will be out of the bottle!
Europe is in for a bunch of trouble. I do have a suspicion that the EU was deliberately attacked by US Finance. Certainly, Europe dug its own grave with their version of funny money, although they kept up appearances pretty well until given a strong push by the rating agencies. Perhaps the European Monetary Union will fall apart and the euro may disappear as things unravel.
Daily Bell: Will the EU and the euro survive?
Hugo Salinas-Price: The euro is a fiat money construct and is destined to fail eventually. The EU was a good idea, but based upon sand. I remember that von Mises wrote that the Austrian Empire, which was a collection of nations with different languages, religions and customs, was held together by the gold coin of the Empire. When that went, the Empire was doomed. I suspect that unless the EU wakes up and initiates a move to a European gold standard, they too are doomed. The buying of gold in Europe is a signal that instead of being fought or ignored, it should form a part of planning for the future of Europe.
Daily Bell: What’s the biggest problem in the world economically today?
Hugo Salinas Price: Without a doubt, the enormous “structural problems” which the economists talk about – imbalances of trade, where some countries export lots of stuff and other countries buy quantities of that stuff but have nothing, or little, to sell to the exporting countries – this problem has caused China for instance, to accumulate enormous “reserves” of dollars and euros, while the US and the West in general have lost their industries. This is the main problem in the world today and it cannot be remedied without the gold standard.
Only through the gold standard can the world achieve peace and harmony in economic relationships. Only the gold standard can prevent a huge country like China, from devastating the industries of the “developed world”.
Daily Bell: Is that the biggest problem in South America and Central America too?
Hugo Salinas-Price: I certainly do think it is the biggest problem today. However, I wouldn’t go so far as to say it’s the only problem. People have different sets of values, you know. Not everyone everywhere wants to live in a suburban home with two cars, grass in the front yard, two kids that are going to go to college, etc. etc. Strange as it may seem, some people in this world – and they are not a few – prefer to live simple lives, working only when they have to and perhaps as little as possible. “Work” is not such a great thing everywhere. Some people like to be what we call, lazy. They like to take a nap in a hammock after lunch.
So the idea of a world-wide middle class with a similar standard of living must be an illusion founded on misconceptions about people. There is great deal of harm done by “Improvers”, who are always thinking of ways to improve upon what people actually want if they are let alone.
Give them sound money, and let each work out his destiny, I say. A couple of years ago, a poll was taken to find out who are the happiest people in the world. Guess what? Mexico was Numero Uno!
Daily Bell: Any English books or articles you have written that you recommend?
Hugo Salinas-Price: I have not written any book in English – the readers I write for are Mexicans and I really have no business talking about the rest of the world, including the US. If I translate some of my articles into English, it is because I feel a few people may be interested in what is, after all, a unique project with no similarity to anything being proposed in the rest of the world.
You can find my articles in English at my website, www.plata.com.mx. Thank you so much, for taking an interest in my opinions!


Hugo Salinas-Price comes across as thoughtful and gracious soul – someone who truly has the good of his country in mind in many ways. His is certainly a life well-lived. He has built a national Mexican company from the bottom up, provided for his family and then spent his mature years engaged in a great struggle to introduce sound money into the economy of his native land. In fact, given the sensibleness of his endeavor (which grows closer to success in our opinion every year) you would think that his campaign to create a legal and circulating silver dollar in Mexico would already have borne fruit.
Given the shape of the Mexican economy and of paper money in general, Price’s monetary solution makes sense. Silver is the money of the people, just as gold has traditionally been the money of bankers and the wealthy. Silver has traded in a ratio with gold for millennia, and thus bi-metallism has been the monetary standard of choice for many cultures and countries. Historically, this is provable and seems reasonable to us here at the Bell, but such is the decrepitude of modern understanding of money that the Internet is assaulted a thousand times a day with elaborate monetary plans featuring all kinds of money stuff and strategies.
Essentially, money over the millennia has proven to have four characteristics:
(1) durability (value),
(2) divisibility (malleability),
(3) transportability, and
(4) noncounterfeitability (serviceability)
As free-market economist Murray Rothbard has famously pointed out, money evolved from a competition featuring different kinds of money stuff. Gold and silver (and to a lesser extent copper), precious metals often found together, were not appointed by a committee or king. The market itself determined the choice of money historically – and in fact money has manifested itself in other forms as well – beads, salt, sugar even large, carved rocks. But ultimately and over and over, the market itself has chosen gold and silver as the money of choice.
We have often observed in these modest pages that a gold (or silver) backed currency would prove most attractive if some country were to step forward and issue it. In fact, were Iceland or Greece or some other nation currently struggling with the ruinous ramifications of mercantilist fiat money to simply back the national currency with gold, many difficulties would be reduced or eliminated. (Of course, a country would need to find the gold to begin with, but that is a separate question.)
In the best of all worlds, of course, a country and a ruling class will not mandate the composition of money nor control its circulation. The market itself would decide on the composition of money, the kinds of banking that was demanded and even the level of fractionality with which money would circulate, if any. In fact, money really is a pretty simple issue once the market itself is re-involved. In a laissez-faire money economy, interest rates would fluctuate regionally, no doubt, the supply of money would vary from region to region and even inflation or deflation rates would be variable.
What we have today, of course, is much different. The powers-that-be have taken the various paraphernalia of money – its banks, bills and issuance – and gradually hollowed them out, offering instead an imitation that provides a historical representation but none of the control or value. Even government mints, which used to stamp gold and silver, today work overtime stamping what in the past would have been considered slugs – any kind of non-precious metals.
From our point of view it is only a matter of time until some nation, some group or even some region re-introduces currency backed by precious metals – or even, as Price hopes, beings to circulate the metal itself as a national money. If Price has his way, Mexico will be the first major modern country to do this. We wish him well in this important quest. When Mexico does begin to circulate its Libertad, others countries will soon follow. The benefits will be clear and fairly immediate.
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged agorism, anarchism, anarcho-capitalism, Austrian Business Cycle Theory, austrian economics, Capitalism, Central Planning, Communism, Crony Capitalism, debt collapse, debt default, dollar, Economic Dictatorship, economy, Fascism, federal reserve, free market, Freedom, gold, Hugo Salinas-Price, hyperinflation, incentives, inflation, interventionism, liberty, Ludwig von Mises, Lysander Spooner, Obama, Ron Paul, Socialism, State Capitalism, unemployment, voluntaryist, Weimar Republic
Doug Casey on Immigration
(Interviewed by Louis James, Editor, International Speculator)
L: So, Doug, a while back there was a big furor among many people, including some of your libertarian friends, about the new immigration law – or anti-illegal-immigration law – passed by the state of Arizona. We had other fish to fry at the time, and then the markets got all jittery, but I know you have thoughts on the subject of immigration, so let ‘er rip – what do you make of all this?
Doug: I think it’s incumbent upon a free person to go anywhere he or she wants.
L: And that they have every right to do so, without restriction?
Doug: Absolutely. Everyone should be able to travel, whether they’re coming or going, without the approval of a state. As I’m sure you’re aware, it was only a hundred years ago that almost anybody, from almost anywhere, could go almost anywhere else, without a passport.
L: The good old days.
Doug: At least from that point of view. In a free society, all property is privately owned. Immigrants, like other travelers, would only have to make sure they have a place to lay their heads down at night.
L: Some people might argue that it was different back then because travel was long, arduous, and expensive, so you wouldn’t get masses of poor and poorly educated people flooding into rich countries the way you would today. The world is a different and far more dangerous place today, and such idealistic policies from the past are no longer workable.
Doug: Well, they would be wrong. Anyone who thinks the world was a safer place back in the U.S. Civil War era, or when the Indians were watching the Europeans arrive, or during the crusades, or during the Black Death, or during the rise of Rome, or during the last ice age… Well, ignorant is about the best that can be said for them. And as for the poor masses, that’s exactly what America came to be filled with, in wave after wave.
For example, in the 1840s and ‘50s, there were the starving and penniless from Ireland fleeing the potato famine. Over the centuries, most of the immigrants to the new world were not rich adventurers on holiday, coming over to see the exotic flora and fauna. They were typically the most persecuted and impoverished people from all over Europe. These were desperate and sometimes dangerous people, fighting for survival. The ones who did so successfully were among the most resourceful, driven, and creative – in other words, just the sort of people who can add value to an economy.
So no, that thinking is just plain wrong and wrong-headed. It’s always been the poor, the hungry, huddled masses.
L: As Emma Lazarus’ famous poem about the Statue of Liberty goes: “Give me your tired, your poor, Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free, The wretched refuse of your teeming shore. Send these, the homeless, tempest-tost to me, I lift my lamp beside the golden door!”
You know, I shouldn’t be surprised – because, as you like to point out, after hydrogen, stupidity is the most common thing in the universe – but it somehow always does manage to surprise me when I run into obstinate anti-immigrant bigotry. This entire country was built by immigrants. We’re all immigrants. Even the “native” Americans are just older immigrants. How can any American possibly be so blind as to fail to see the hypocrisy of being against immigration?
Doug: Just so. You know, that poem also says: “Keep ancient lands, your storied pomp!” I’ve always rather liked that line, because it’s quite anti-elitist. It’s truly a sad thing that the Statue of Liberty has become an empty symbol, as meaningless as the Declaration of Independence. It’s another sign of the death of America, which has gone from being the land of the free and the home of the brave to the land of tax slaves and the home of welfare recipients. And it’s precisely because it was the land of the free and brave that America was so fearless of immigrants; Americans were not afraid to work hard and compete with anyone from anywhere.
The statistics tell us that now, however, about 47% of Americans don’t pay income tax; they look forward to April 15 as a day the government sends them money. Of course I don‘t believe in the income tax – or any other taxes, for that matter. But the U.S., like Europe, has turned into a place where most people feel entitled to have the state – or rich people – take care of them. They certainly don’t want to compete. They want free handouts and will keep voting for them, come hell or high water. Forty million Americans are on food stamps, and I promise you that number is going much higher.
L: I think they’ll get both hell and high water as a result. But didn’t immigrants cause some problems back then? I know there were anti-Irish sentiments, to continue with your example. “No Irish need apply,” etc.
Doug: There were certainly problems. Look, life isn’t just full of problems; life is problems. Though I’d guess that even back then, more problems were caused by the people already in America than by those arriving. But that doesn’t mean the new arrivals were bad for America. Just the opposite. The kind of people who would leave wherever they were born and make their way – as long and arduous as you say – to America would have been the best class of people. They clearly had the most “get up and go…”
L: Literally.
Doug: [Chuckle] Yes. They were the most opportunity-seeking and generally the most freedom-loving. Those poor wretches were not a net drain, as their modern counterparts are seen today, but a huge boon to the country – and the same could be true today, if we had the right policies.
L: Well, look what Australia has built on foundations of being a prison colony. It seems pretty clear that whom you let in doesn’t matter, it’s what the systems in place encourage people to do once they get there that matters.
But one more challenge; some people would say that back then America had wild frontiers, beyond which anyone could go and hack a living out of the wilderness. Now the U.S. has no open frontier; it’s a closed system with limited resources, resources newcomers may take from those already on board.
Doug: They’re wrong too, and self-serving in their myopia. The U.S. still has vast, vast stretches of empty land, owned by the federal government, which could be re-opened to homesteading. And Space Ship One has shown that there is an infinite frontier opening up for those daring enough to go colonize it.
But this is the 21st century. Homesteading shouldn’t mean hacking a farm out of the wilderness anymore, it should mean launching a technology company, or engineering some new solution to an expensive problem, or offering a valuable service to people who need it, and so forth. Space isn’t the final frontier, opportunity is, and it’s infinite. It serves no useful purpose whatsoever to try to limit people’s access to opportunity – and if the U.S. stops the best and the brightest among us from following new opportunities here, they will do it elsewhere, and the U.S. will get left behind.
L: So, you don’t see any problems with throwing the borders wide open today? Let anyone into the U.S. who wants to live the American Dream – maybe they’ll bring it back to life?
Doug: Well, to start with, it’s not America anymore, it’s the United States, a welfare-warfare state that offers perverse incentives to be non-productive and goes around the world creating enemies with an extremely aggressive foreign policy. So I expect there would indeed be problems if opening the borders were the only change made.
As long as the U.S. is mass-producing enemies in the Middle East and elsewhere, it does make some sense for it to try to erect walls to protect itself. Welfare is a disaster, but while the U.S. is handing out expensive goodies and subsidies, it makes sense for the U.S. to try to limit how many people it has to support. In both cases, however, the answer is to get rid of these destructive and counterproductive policies, not to close the border. If you get rid of the welfare-warfare state, you solve the perceived immigration problem. The U.S. needs to return to being America.
L: “Peace, commerce and honest friendship with all nations – entangling alliances with none.” But America is not the only thing that has changed over the last 100 years…
Doug: That’s right. There are two main differences between the people who want to immigrate today and those who did so in the past. First, in those days, it was mostly Europeans, so there was less racism in the reaction to them. Today, it’s … not mostly Europeans, and I’m sorry to say that, regardless of what people say, I think the cold reception is very much race-driven. But racism is a fact everywhere – the Orient, Africa, Europe – everywhere. It’s a holdover from primitive times. But I believe it will diminish over time, by which I mean the centuries to come.
Second, in those days, immigrants had to work and produce in order to survive. There were none of the counterproductive policies I mentioned above; no welfare, no unemployment benefits, no health care subsidies, no government housing projects, no subsidized transportation, none of these things. So immigrants had to start producing immediately and become self sustaining right away, or they’d starve. That sounds harsh to modern ears, but if they were starving where they came from and had limited opportunities, just the chance to not starve in America, with its unlimited opportunities, was an attractive prospect.
Today, immigrants are actually encouraged to explore all the wonderful benefits and services the U.S. government has to offer – and this attracts the wrong kind of person. And corrupts everyone else. It’s not that poor people want to come here that’s the problem today; we always had poor people wanting to come here. It’s that our government handouts are attracting parasites as well as creative opportunity seekers.
L: Are you saying that some anti-immigrant feelings may have some justification?
Doug: Only because of the corrupting influence of the system. There’s a certain atavism in the hostility towards immigrants. We believe, correctly, that America used to be in many ways better than any other country in the world. And these new people are not integrating the way past immigrants have. They come from different cultures, with different values, and they often seem to be bringing those cultures here, rather than becoming Americans – they are changing America, and that scares people. This creates resentment among people who like things the way they were, and that, while not necessarily laudable, is understandable.
But even the fear of American culture being changed wouldn’t be such an issue if America hadn’t ceased to be America. In the past era of “rugged individualism,” immigrants had to integrate. They wanted to be Americans as soon as possible – that’s why they came. Now the state, with services in several languages and all its “safety nets” makes that optional – even subtly encourages them not to, for the sake of “diversity.”
L: And of course no one wants to give up their old ways if they don’t have to.
Doug: Exactly. Even though perhaps well intended, the hate crime laws that punish boorish behavior towards people who are different have the unintended consequence of further reducing the incentive to integrate.
L: Hm. But if the America we knew and loved no longer exists, there’s the question of what immigrants would be integrating into today…
Doug: At this point, they’d be trying to integrate into a militarized welfare system, in which everyone is trying to live at the expense of everyone else. And that’s exactly the problem.
As I’ve said before, America was a beautiful idea, but pandering politicians and social engineers have killed it. Instead, we have the United States, which is just a country, like any other in the club of 200 or so states that are nothing more than protection rackets in terminal decline. The racket is done – the system doesn’t work anymore, and I believe that the nation-state as we know it will cease to exist as a meaningful player within the next generation or two.
And that’s a good thing. Because of technology, almost everyone can go almost anywhere they like, and the result will be new groupings of people based on common values, not the random and meaningless groupings we have today, based on where people are born. I believe these new forms of social organization that will replace today’s governments will be more stable, productive, and valuable to their members (who will be able to shop for the ones they deem most advantageous), so I’m in favor of making that transition happen as fast and easily as possible. Open borders would help with that.
L: So, the basic answer to those who fear open borders is that free immigration is not the problem, the problem is the welfare-warfare system.
Doug: Right. It’s the government of the United States that is creating the problems that a lot of individual citizens resent. It’s rather inchoate anger, in most cases, but they do sense that something is wrong. Unfortunately, they don’t understand the causes, so they blame the immigrants, while they should be blaming their rulers and tossing them out of office.
L: Okay, but that’s the ideal answer. Realistically, it’s hard to imagine a sudden burst of reason in Washington causing the federal government to roll back its counterproductive welfare and warfare policies and to open the borders to the most creative, driven, and entrepreneurial people around the world.
Doug: Yes, that’s completely out of the question. They may make noises about national security in a world awash in terrorism, etc., but the truth is that every politician knows that opening the borders would allow a huge influx of relatively cheap and competent labor into the U.S. market. That would break the rice bowls of too many fat, overpaid U.S. laborers who think they have a birthright to $30, $50, or $70 per hour jobs. It’s not going to happen, not by vote of the parasitical/political class that rules the world today.
However, an equalization of wage levels around the world will happen, in time, as a result of economic trends that can’t be stopped. The Chinese fellow who works for $2 a day, doing the same thing a U.S. worker does for $20 per hour now, may soon be making $2 per hour – and so will the American. But the Chinese fellow might actually be better off than the U.S. worker at that time, because he won’t be burdened with the monstrous tax and regulatory burden of his U.S. counterpart.
L: And he won’t see anything wrong with working more than 40 hours a week.
Doug: Nor would he dream of taking sick days and three weeks of paid vacation. The Chinese guy will simply work harder than his U.S. counterpart.
L. That might change as the playing field levels. But the bottom line here is that you’re saying that people can be as closed-minded as they want, close the borders entirely, keep those different-looking people out – but you can’t keep the jobs in. Even if the U.S. adopts a law preventing companies from employing the cheapest labor available on the global market, that will just ensure that U.S. companies will be replaced by more nimble international competitors. It’s going to happen, regardless of what anyone wants, says, or votes for.
Doug: And, perversely, the more political action the U.S. takes to stop it from happening, the more certain the outcome is. It will happen.
L: I love the irony; the market will level the playing field, elevating the world’s poorest, most needy people – and it will do so where decades of wrong-headed and destructive foreign aid have failed.
Doug: Yes, and at that point, when opportunity abounds around the world, the nation-state as we know it will have no credible value to offer people, and it too will go into the dustbin of history.
And it’s already started. I happen to be speaking to you from Washington DC, and last night I went to the Tyson’s Corner shopping center…
L: I remember when that was a gas station out in the middle of nowhere…
Doug: I do too. It’s gigantic now. So, my wife and I were people watching. We didn’t do anything resembling scientific research, but we did consciously try to quantify what we were seeing. Looking at the people working in the shops, I would say that about 80% of them were discernibly foreigners. And then we counted people riding the escalator from the first to the second floor, and we could immediately see that about 50% of the shoppers were discernibly foreigners.
L: What do you conclude from that?
Doug: That all these immigration laws do is raise the cost of entry. And what that does is discourage the sort of entrepreneurial middle-class people who’d have the easiest time contributing positively to the U.S. economy the moment they got here. Those people will go elsewhere, where there’s less state interference with opportunity, leaving more of the welfare-seekers who sneak in illegally. It’s completely perverse.
L: Any other comments on the Arizona law specifically?
Doug: Well, you know governments are always passing reams and reams of stupid laws. It’s what they do. I don’t believe stopping immigration is a legitimate function of government. If I did believe government was necessary, I’d restrict it to protecting Life, Liberty, and Property via police, courts, and military. But most people see the state as a magical cornucopia that will give them anything they want as long as they vote for it, and, more frighteningly, as a Big Brother that will make everyone play nice with them.
L: Heh. Yes, people forget that a government powerful enough to compel others to do what they want is powerful enough to compel them to do what others want. Big Brother… doesn’t anyone read anymore?
Doug: I don’t know; perhaps they just talk on their cell phones and watch reality TV. But it’s pretty alarming. These attitudes are sending what’s left of America down the wrong path fast. And as the economic situation winds down, Boobus Americanus is going to blame the immigrants. That’s bad enough, but for readers of this column, the more serious consequence will be that they will blame the emigrants as well. It’s a double-edged sword that cuts the wrong way, both ways.
L: Emigrants – those bastards. Why won’t they stay here and let us tax them more so they can pay for us to live beyond our means? Where’s their patriotism? Traitors. I bet they don’t even like baseball and apple pie!
Doug: [Chuckles] The only good news about that is that wealthier people are generally welcome in other countries. So, for many reasons we’ve talked about before, it’s important to diversify your assets out of the U.S., or wherever your home country is, and start looking for places where you’ll be more welcome.
L: Makes me wonder why any smart person would want to immigrate to the U.S. I guess they still see it as America.
Doug: Well, most of those who do come here to study go back where they came from. It’s mostly Asians, who go to U.S. universities for higher degrees in advanced sciences and the like (while their U.S. counterparts are taking courses like gender studies and sociology), and then take that knowledge home. They can see that the U.S. still has more capital, but it’s on a curve going down, while other places are on a curve going up – which is a much smarter place to build an enterprise. And they can feel that immigrants are not welcome in this country anymore.
L: That would seem to have investment implications. Would you rather place bets in Shanghai than Wall Street?
Doug: I’m not inclined towards stocks anywhere right now. I hate to employ an overused phrase, but it’s perfectly apt to say that we’re facing a perfect storm. This and many other trends we’ve discussed – just about every trend I can see – they all point to very dire consequences for the U.S., making conventional U.S.-centered investment strategies very risky. It’s not just stormy weather but a Class 5 hurricane on the horizon, and this attitude towards immigrants is one strong sign of our times. Not good.
L: It’s gone way beyond straws in the wind; we’ve got whole hay bales blowing by. And they say: “Short Wall Street!”
Doug: [Laughs] That’s right. Short Wall Street. Short the dollar and the euro – paper currencies in general. Short bonds. Get more of your cash out of the U.S. before they ratchet up the currency controls. Go long on the precious metals, quality energy plays, and certain agricultural commodities, especially productive land. It’s the same thing we’ve been saying all along in these conversations, only it’s getting more urgent.
It’s just amazing. You’d think that people could see this train wreck coming and try to prevent it, or at least get out of the way. Instead, they’re asking the government to throw more coal into the boiler, as the locomotive heads towards the tracks dangling over the edge of the cliff.
L: Right then. Off I go – got some hatches to batten down.
Doug: You do that, and we’ll talk again soon.
If you want to get a keen sense of which way the wind is blowing in the U.S. and global economies, reading The Casey Report is a must. Doug Casey and his editorial team analyze big-picture trends and predict what’s going to happen in the near future. They were right on the housing bubble… the subprime crisis… the demise of the dollar… gold’s meteoric rise… and much more. Details here.
If you received this from a friend click the link to receive Conversations with Casey direct.
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged agorism, anarchism, anarcho-capitalism, Austrian Business Cycle Theory, austrian economics, Capitalism, Central Planning, Communism, Crony Capitalism, debt collapse, debt default, dollar, Economic Dictatorship, economy, environmentalism, Fascism, federal reserve, free market, Freedom, gold, housing crash, hyperinflation, incentives, inflation, interventionism, John Stossel, liberty, Lysander Spooner, minimum wage, Obama, Ron Paul, Socialism, State Capitalism, unemployment, unions, voluntaryist, Weimar Republic
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged agorism, anarchism, anarcho-capitalism, Austrian Business Cycle Theory, austrian economics, Capitalism, Central Planning, Communism, Corporatism, Crony Capitalism, debt collapse, debt default, dollar, Economic Dictatorship, economy, Fascism, federal reserve, free market, Freedom, gold, housing crash, hyperinflation, incentives, inflation, interventionism, liberty, Lysander Spooner, Obama, Ron Paul, Socialism, State Capitalism, unemployment, voluntaryist, Weimar Republic